Notch Protocol is experimental software. Predictions are not financial advice. Use at your own risk. Read full disclaimer
Protocol
Where predictions are permanent.
Commit cryptographic predictions on-chain. Build a verifiable track record. Trade access to the best alpha.
Every prediction passes through three immutable stages. No backdating. No deletion.
Hash your prediction with a secret salt and submit it on-chain. Nobody can see it. Nobody can front-run it.
hash = keccak256("ETH ABOVE $4,200 24h 78%", salt)After the delay, publish the prediction and salt. Contract verifies the hash.
Oracle delivers the price at resolution time. Your Notch Score updates. Permanent.
Not just accuracy. Calibration. When you say 78% confident and you're right 78% of the time, that's a perfect Brier score.
EMA of correct predictions. 0.95 decay — recent calls matter more.
Brier score. How well stated confidence matches outcomes.
Low variance in rolling accuracy. Steady beats lucky.
Log-scaled prediction count. Statistical significance.
Your Profile
Every predictor gets a verifiable on-chain scorecard
Start predicting to build your score
Make Your First PredictionNotch Passes are ERC-1155 tokens granting access to future predictions. Buy, sell, and trade. 2.5% fee per trade.
Genesis Season Coming Soon
The marketplace opens when the first predictors build their scores. Be among the first.
Your track record lives on-chain. Cryptographically committed, immutably scored, publicly verifiable.
Commit-reveal prevents backdating. Score derived from reality.
Sell Notch Passes. Set your price. Protocol handles the marketplace.
Staking rewards for top predictors. Performance fees.
Stop trusting anonymous channels. Buy access to predictors with verified, on-chain track records.
Accuracy, calibration, consistency — all on-chain, all immutable.
Buy a pass, use it, resell it. Prices driven by demand.
Build indices of top predictors. API for automated systems.
Genesis Season
The leaderboard is empty. Be the first predictor to claim the top spot.
Start PredictingThe first protocol where trading intelligence has a verifiable price.